Posted on 11/23/2020 4:08:17 PM PST by Conserv
Although we don’t yet know the winners of some House races, we can already look ahead to the 2022 midterms and see a fairly straightforward path for the GOP to capture the House. Midterm elections historically go well for the party that’s not in the White House, and the out-of-power party is especially likely to do well in the House, since every seat is up for election (the Senate is a more complicated story).
Since the end of World War II, the presidential party has lost an average of 27 House seats in midterm elections, as the chart below shows. No matter how many seats Democrats end up with after 2020’s election — at this point, they will probably end up somewhere in the low 220s — a loss of that magnitude would easily be enough for Republicans to retake the House.
The recent history of midterms in a Democratic president’s first term seems especially promising for the GOP, too. Following Bill Clinton’s election in 1992, Democrats lost more than 50 seats in 1994, and after Barack Obama won the presidency in 2008, Democrats lost more than 60 seats.
If Democrats had added five to 10 seats this year, they could have survived a 20-seat loss in the midterms. Instead, Republicans will probably need to win fewer than 10 seats to gain a slender majority in 2022.
[Related: Politics Podcast: Why Polls Were Off In 2020, And Why They Weren’t That Bad]
On top of this, Republicans could very well benefit from the new district lines that will be drawn ahead of the 2022 midterm elections. The GOP is set to fully control redistricting for about two-fifths of all House seats, while Democrats will only hold sway over one-tenth of them, with the remaining seats are in states with divided governments or where redistricting is done by a commission system. The Republican line-drawing advantage should help the party draw favorable maps that could help the GOP win more seats than we might otherwise expect.
GOP should field real tough conservatives in every district that does not touch an ocean or a blue city.
This story cracks me up and is utterly ridiculous.
What republicans will win?
First, the ones who win the bidding war to win the primaries on voting systems.
Then we will get the democrat or the republican who wins the bidding war on the election.
It’s hilarious that anyone thinks there is any hope beyond this point.
Once you throw an election as obviously as “they” threw this one, and then get away with it right in front of the electorate, there are no “selections of the people” at the point.
My vote is for sale.
Oh please. Gun bans. NEVER going to happen.
So...how is the GOP ever going to win if they roll over and allow massive voter fraud by the Dems?
They didn’t think this through...or...they like getting a cactus shoved up their asses.
If Trump does not call us up to put this coup down, who will?
This bears repeating:
**********
Mass election fraud is now perfectly acceptable, and elevated as honorable to the mass media, DNC, and their globalist fabian socialist cheerleading RINO’s.
“The end justifies the means”, and to an anti-God marxist, there are no moral boundaries, only their narcissistic outcomes.
As such, only anti-American, anti-God, anti-life, anti-liberty, global socialists will retain majorities going forward, in all elections. They may throw a bone or two, but this is it.
The first orders of business will now be totalitarian in nature, and will under color of emergency, act to formally wipe out the Bill of Rights.
America’s Constitution and liberty formally die here and now, if this pervasive national scale election fraud, placement of socialist puppets Harris/Biden, is forced upon us.
As well, this was a global conspiracy, directly involving big money from anti-American third parties (Zuckerberg, Gates, Soros, Clinton’s, etc) as well as foreign involvement and access to vote tabulation, election officials-judges-politicians bribed, etc, etc...
I believe when Trump surprised the already well constructed and versed global socialist DNC fraud machine in 2016, it was a painful and near catastrophic roadblock, to what was supposed to be an near immediate global socialist take-down of America, and the formal and sovereign global governance architecture put in place.
Something like this is to now follow the fraudulent Coup’d’Etat, and fraudulent placement of what will be our subordinate figurehead president.
The long fought, multi-decade global socialist DNC architects would not willingly let this happen again.
They were willing to use COVID-whatever (fear, deaths, economic collapse), to bring into subjugation and alignment, all previously “free” nations and societies. This plainly reveals a lot of motivation, and external influence.
If The Anti-Christ is among us, guess he doesn’t want to die of old age, waiting for a perfectly willing western population. An besides, there can be more national scale bloodshed this way.
Through CV-19, we (in several free nations) also taught the elite global socialist governance ruling class, we would voluntarily give up our liberties and subjugate ourselves, in exchange for safety from their own pre-planned CV-19 conspiracy, specifically designed to take total control of the worlds lesser people.
As with this piece, it is clear from the many “like” pieces written, speaking of “taking back anything”, the GOP-e, RINO’s, their publications, and many American voters in general, are no longer even capable of recognizing the death now looking them in the face, and this death and slavery has a broad smile.
No, we have to stand now, ready to give up all, or it’s over.
Dominion was primarily used to influence the Presidential election but also some down ticket races such as John James vs. Peters in MI.
Also, it was used for fraud mainly in the battleground states.
The GOP gained in other states.
There is NO WAY the Dems will let the GOP get the House back EVER AGAIN.
If I was an evil Dem, I’d push to finish off opposition over the next two years, at least any serious political opposition so that the Senate and House STAY Dem.
I think Republicans need to re-register as Democrats and change the Dem Party from within. LOL.
If the democrats can cheat to win in 2020, why wouldn’t they in 2022?
If my memory is correct, not enough Trump voters came out in 2018.
Why would they come out at all in 2022, after the GOP let the dems steal the White House from him?
You have put your finger on how dire the situation is. We are not going to get the country back short of an armed revolution. The election and judicial processes are fatally compromised and the Marxists will never again allow a surprise like 2016. They are also moving to restrict and eliminate any meaningful 2A as quickly as possible. A disarmed populace is even less likely to resist. Next the continued business and citizen restrictions and closedowns are destroying the middle class. A large and active middle class is a threat to a Marxist dictatorship. A xtandard totalitarian model is a ruling inner party who live in luxury and an impoverished and often hungry proletariat who have no means to resist, This is the future we are headed for IMO unless a miracle happens.
With 60 million new immigrant Democrat voters getting healthcare paid for by American Tax slaves?
Lol. Keep dreaming.
The Politicians are not going to help us. They’ve got their spot at the moment and they’ll ride it out until the next election thinking most people will forget about this election. It’s very difficult to replace hard core long term incumbents - big money. They bank on the idea that when the next election rolls around that the people like good folks we are will vote either R or D. There is certainly a few brave politicians, but mostly all we get is lip service. They don’t represent us except when they come around for the R vote.
There is no doubt that the government in DC is very corrupt as we’ve seen with no one being held accountable for the coup, among other things, the past four years and therefore, it is also a green light to steal the election because no one will be held accountable and they know it.
The Justice system (Judges & Prosecutors) are also infected by the deep state as we can see by the they’ve ruled the past four years obstructing President’s Trumps policies and they will not help now re election.
The “Deep State” is very deep. The career politicians, including Republicans, sabotaged POTUS every step of the way. Congress only allowed certain people to be nominated for his administration (Wray & Barr for example) and I believe there were many nominations that didn’t even make it through the process leaving vacancies. We also know these certain people were brought in to cover up the corruption. The question is who brought these people forward and why. We know Mitch was in on all of it from get go along with other Senators and they are involved in the cover up to protect themselves.
The institutions in DC didn’t follow orders from the POTUS during his presidency or now. The media - big tech - covers for the lying, cheating and violence of the left and they are destroying this country. Again, anyone associated with the democrat party are not being held accountable in the criminal justice system for their behavior.
The question becomes is there anyone left in Government that will be brave enough to stand up to the voting fraud besides our great President Trump and his loyal team. (There are Judges already not willing to do the right thing.) Probably not because the politicians only care about their next re election and the money or getting rich and Judges are chickens..ts and are corrupt too. If this election stands as it is now our government/country is possibly lost. Which reinforces why everyone was saying beforehand that this was the most important election in our lifetime.
In summary, the oath of office that politicians and Judges swear to are meaningless now.
The Democrats are very very organized. First rule for change is organization. Somehow, all of the great POTUS supporters need to figure out a way to bring all of us together in one centralized area. I’m not saying eliminating all of the great websites that currently exist like the wonderful CTH but one that taps into all of the currently great sites. A powerful central resource spot (maybe MAGA central) that could be utilized to promote policies and vet politicians for office and other things. 73 million MAGA supporters centrally organized could be really powerful. We can’t rely on the RNC anymore. Having said that, I’m not smart enough to create it. But someone with the money and knowledge possibly could do it. Anyway, it’s just an idea.
Hope you’re right. But the other team is planning on a bunch of EO’s, including a gun seizure.
Yep, that’s where I’m at. Republicans are just playing games and they betrayed President Trump. Screw the Republicans they’ve shown themselves as worthless.
I only vote MAGA party from now on!
Why would anybody assume that any Republican will ever be elected again? When you can “Smartmatically” cancel out any Republican votes? Why would I even bother voting?
As rationale a response as could be expected.
No, they aren’t. We will never have a fair election again.
Yes, RummyChick if Mitch wants to keep his position in the Senate, he needs to make sure the January run-off election is not rigged.
Bull, The GOP is dead after Jan. This is the “high water mark” of the GOP.
No way. The democrats will stuff the ballots. Since we could not win a massive win of an election like 2020 then we will never win any other election going forward.
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