In the precincts that vote fraud has been indicated the curves for Trump are normal, but the Biden curves are well divergent.
In rural precincts where Bidens numbers did not show unusual voting trends Bidens and Trumps curves are normal.
Note these curves would not detect dominion machine fraud, only human intervention fraud as the machine shifts percentages of a normal curve.
The unusual curves are a direct result of the emergency late night ballot dumls.
Yeah, I’ve seen those and a few others.
OTMAL had a good point, that the leading digit distribution can vary based on size of precinct. In other words, that Benford’s law has limitations. Applications where the results it provides do not justify confidence in a conclusion. In particular, a conclusion that fraud is present.
OTMAL pointed out some facts - Miami curves do not diverge, other cities they do diverge. Same clinical observation you provide.
I was seeking OTMAL conclusion. Given that Benford “breaks down in some cases,” does it break down in THIS case. Is there evidence of fraud, or not? I know my gut feel, I know your position, but OTMAL pointed out a weakness on Benford. I wonder what effect that has on his confidence in the conclusion that fraud is present.
I’m fine with statistical methods in general, all sorts of distributions, assumptions, etc. Generally though dealing with physical qualities that have variation. Benford is not part of my study experience, and I was looking for an explanation of ramifications of what looks to be a “be careful what you conclude” admonition from OTMAL.