Reading the threads from the other side, especially Silver et al, it’s like we’re (or they’re) on a different planet. They are saying that Rs need at least a 300K lead to be even! A +2 or +3 R electorate wont’ cut it.
I suppose they believe that based on their polls where 10-15% of Rs are voting for Biden and they are winning NPAs by 20 points and more.
Live by the polls; die by the polls.
D turnout = 73.6%
R turnout = 78.9%
Both sides are probably near the 2016 turnout with the 9 counties not included. But look at Rs. I think they are going even higher than 81.2%. I’m floored at the turnout.
If this extends into other states...