[mmichaels1970]

Biden needs 8.7% of the Independents to catch up with Republicans for a tie.

So the remaining 91.3% would be voting third party?

[IVAXMAN]

No Biden needs to win independents by 8.7% margin.

[springwater13]

There is concern on Twitter the Republican margin should be 250-300k+ as a margin of safety in case Biden over-performs with Independents.

200K could be exceptionally tight like 2000 537 votes tight. Every thousand we get above 200k gives us a margin of safety.