“D lead at 5016. The drop is accelerating, if that’s possible. It will be R lead at the next update at 09:40!! We’re looking at 400k-500k R lead by the end of the day! 5%-8% Trump win in FL is quite possible. That means VA, CO, NM and OR are in play!!”
If things keep going like they have so far taking back the house looks like a real possibility.
FL #EarlyVoting Sumter Co. update. Rs have outperformed 2016 by 3.1 pts. Sumter was supposedly the place to monitor for the seniors deserting Trump. That narrative has failed. Trump will win Sumter by an even bigger margin than in 2016.
In 2016, we won the House, because Republicans voted.
In 2018, we lost the House because Repubs stayed home, while Democrats came out and voted in close to the same numbers as from 2016.
In 2020, Repubs have come out to vote. I don't see a scenario where Trump wins and we DON'T re-take the House.