[CarolinaReaganFan]

as of your post #9485, the number of outstanding ballots was 47277. the difference between biden and trump was 12825 (2436420 - 2423595).

so trump needs to maintain a vote lead of 12825 / 47277, or 27.1%, for the remaining (maximum?) 47277 votes outstanding.

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lead is 9525 and about 10,170 of those have been counted

[Religion and Politics]

In GA, new update from the Secretary of State's website:

With counting continuing in numerous counties throughout Georgia, Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger said that as of 5:45 p.m. today there are approximately 36,331 ballots still outstanding.“

So 36,331 ballots remaining. Our goose is cooked unfortunately. For Biden to make up 9525, he would need about 64% of the remaining votes. I think he has been performing better than that.

[SteveH]

the trump vote loss during that time interval is 12825 - 9525 = 3300

hmmm

biden delta = 6735 66.2%
trump delta = 3435 33.8%

so far, does not seem like a good vote loss rate for trump (needing at least 36.45%). perhaps this rate could vary depending on which county reports when (?) also, the overseas military ballots could come to the rescue at the last moment (?)

is it true that fulton county suddenly discovered 50k votes overnight? imho this would make a big difference. however, where do these ballots come from (besides UOCAVA)??