Using the data from the Florida Division of Elections ( https://dos.myflorida.com/elections/data-statistics/elections-data/ ), this guy has put together a turnout map. This morning, Democratics were up by 108k, now they are down 110,606. If the idea that Republicans are set to show up in person at a higher rate, this is really bad news for Biden in Florida.
https://joeisdone.github.io/florida/
If the idea that Republicans are set to show up in person at a higher rate, this is really bad news for Biden in Florida.
Bongino has been convinced that this would be a “base turnout” election. I was skeptical, but obviously hoped he was correct.
If he is right and this happens, it might actually put the house in play and represent a net pickup for us in the Senate because there will be far more Republican voters in districts that went for Trump in 2016 that we lost in 2018.
Best case scenario.
Rush didn’t say who emailed him that statistic...so I don’t have a source for the info,
but...if true, I am agreeing with you-— Bad news for Biden in Fla. I am deducing it also means Trump can overcome the Fla early-voting senior votes for Biden.
Yep. At the end of the voting day in 2016 55K more Republicans voted than Democrats.....That translated into a 113,000+ vote win for Trump.
If everything remains essentially constant that 110K+ Republican advantage should translate into a Trump lead of 227,000K+ with 6 hours of HEAVY Republican voting yet to be added.