If people are wondering why there are 2 channels of reporting during election day:
1. When votes come in, they tell us how many REGISTERED Dems and how many REGISTERED Repubs voted.
2. Later, AFTER POLLS CLOSE they tally the actual votes.
I presume the Repub/Dem numbers that are now coming in mid-day during election day are based on the voting precinct tallies by the polling volunteers based on who signed in to vote in person at the precinct.
If so, I think there are many, many registered Democrats who will vote for Trump. All those Black and Mexican votes that are now voting for Trump are likely to be “Crossover Democrats” that are listed in this precinct data simply as “registered Democrats” who voted.
So just because
Are there more “crossover Repubs” voting for Beijing Biden than there are “crossover DemoRats” voting for Trump? Highly doubtful.
Concur. A *few* Republicans will cross over, vote 3rd party or not vote at all. But even more Democrats will vote for Trump. I suspect the majority of Independents will as well.
I understand the desire to prognosticate by noting the number of registered voting ballots, but I prefer dealing in facts. Might be because in my state we don’t declare a party when we register to vote, so the prognosticating is a moot point with us.