Wow, Speedy, those are sobering numbers, with Trump losing ground in FL compared to 2016. If that happens (FL shifting to the left), MI/WI/PA are in jeopardy.
I tried to be conservative.
I assume R turnout is equal to 2016 at 81.2%
I assume D turnout increases from 74.4% to 78.5%.
Indys go for Trump in similar proportions to 2016.
I think this is all conservate. No R turnout increase. The Indy Cuban vote doesn’t add to Indy percentages, etc.
I think my prediction is the floor and if wrong, Trump wins bigger.