One of the few pollsters to call Trumps win in 2016, has a 3 point national race.
Larry, I said it would be 3 points from them at the end. Trump can win electoral college while losing popular vote by 3 points.
https://www.investors.com/news/trump-vs-biden-poll-race-tight-ibd-tipp-presidential-poll/
“Today’s Trump vs. Biden poll update finds the Democratic challenger leading the Republican incumbent by 3.2 points, 48.8%-45.6%, in a four-way presidential poll of likely voters. Biden’s lead was 5.1 points on Sunday.”
More numbers to compare to tomorrow.
2016 & 2018 ED
Reps ranged from 39.5% to 42.5% (did not include PB or M-D)
Dems ranged from 33.5% to 34.5%
NPA ranged from 24% to 26%
Now we have no idea how the Dem emphasis on VBM will affect ED. According to the polls, it should add more Rep and so we are hoping/looking for greater than 42.5% share tomorrow.