exactly. This isn’t Nate back tracking, he is simply stating a fact.
He could of said the same of many states. Such as ... If Biden loses California, he is an underdog. Well, DUH!!!
He still has Biden at about 90% chance to win, MUCH higher than he did when Trump ran against Clinton
His claim to fame was Predicting an Obama win. Everyone who decided to not just hope for a McCain win could have predicted that because Obama had huge crowds and a lot of enthusiasm. The McCain vote was largely an anti Obama vote. I obviously have no idea what will happen on Tuesday but as far as I can tell the anti vote doesn’t generally win. Of course Biden has every establishment in his corner so it may be different but if you’re looking for historical precedents, anti candidates are usually not winners.