[SpeedyInTexas]

D VBM return rate is 78.5%. Was 77.7% this morning. A weak finish. Could go up slightly with Miami/Sarasota. But I’m going to work on my prediction tonight and use 78.5%.

I think overall Ds should be disappointed in that. There were times they were heading towards 84-86%. Day late and a dollar short...

I’m going to assume D overall turnout rate is 78.5% and R overall turnout rate is 81.2%

We can track Election Day with JoeIsDone and see how both parties are trending in turnout vs these benchmarks.

[Ravi]

I will take the under on that 78.5%.

Checked Sarasota. Only 370 ballots returned from Dems and about 340 from Reps. Good day for Reps there with IPEV.

[Rumierules]

What do you think TO will be for NPAs?

That’s the number we’d use to run hypotheticals, right?

52/48 for Trump
51/49 for Trump
52/48 for Biden
51/49 for Biden
Etc