Are your numbers from 2016 the final turnout spread D vs R for the entire election, or is that the final 2016 early turnout D vs R?
If those 2016 numbers are the spread for the entirety of votes cast in those counties, then the usual republican Election Day wave will make Trump more than safe.
Are your numbers from 2016 the final turnout spread D vs R for the entire election, or is that the final 2016 early turnout D vs R?
If those 2016 numbers are the spread for the entirety of votes cast in those counties, then the usual republican Election Day wave will make Trump more than safe.
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2016 numbers are final election results per Politico
2020 data is from TargetSmart modeling of voters who have already voted in those counties.