Silver:
“I do think people overthink things some times. In an 800-person poll, the margin of error for the difference between candidates is ~7 points. And 1 in 20 polls will fall outside that margin of error, i.e. be more than 7 points away from the true number.”
Still in denial. Oh wait, I thought he said believe the polls.
Wasserman: Believe the polls, well unless I disagree with it.
“If you want to play the “unskew Selzer” game, one thing I can tell you is that Republicans are not about to win #IA01 (which flipped blue in ‘18 by 5%) by 15%.”