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To: Lysandru
Why aren’t the polling organizations polling people who have voted?

Excellent question.

What I would want to do is use that data to _validate_ polls.

How would you do that?

Let us say 90 voters already voted early in State X, 30 registered Republicans, 30 registered Democrats, 30 registered Independents.

You ask the question: "Did you vote early?"

You ask the question: "Are you registered as Republican Democrat or Independent?"

You ask the question: "Who did you vote for in the Presidential election?

Then, you _weight_ your poll so that the "yes" answers match the _known_ 30_30_30 turnout.

Then you can be sure your survey accurate reflects the actual early voting.

Most pollsters are way too sloppy to validate their polls.
17 posted on 10/30/2020 9:45:03 AM PDT by cgbg (Biden n-2020: Criminal enterprise using cokehead as bagman. Pronounced: Bye Done.)
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To: cgbg

Brexit architect Nigel Farage: Mainstream media using polls to suppress Trump turnout!

“I think that polling is often used by the establishment as a way of disincentivizing the other side to go out and vote,” said Farage.

Updated: October 30, 2020 - 10:40am

Mainstream media polls showing Joe Biden with a wide lead are failing to accurately gauge support for President Trump and are being used to suppress Trump voter turnout, according to Brexit architect Nigel Farage.

Farage, the British politician who led an underdog movement to remove the United Kingdom from the European Union, said he believes Trump will win despite current polls — just like in 2016 — suggesting otherwise.

“I think that polling is often used by the establishment as a way of disincentivizing the other side to go out and vote,” Farage said on “Just the News AM” television show. “The morning of Brexit, there was a poll released that said Remain [in the E.U.] were 10 points ahead. And it was done, very simply, to say to potential ‘Leave’ voters, ‘Do you know what, if it’s raining, don’t bother to get down to the local school and vote, because you’re gonna lose anyway?’

Farage said he was “struck” with American polls because of what he called “tiny” sample sizes generating margins of error often between 3% to 4%.

“Come on, you know, oh, in Florida, Biden’s half a percent ahead,” Farage said. “It’s ridiculous, because the margin of error is several times bigger than that.”

Within the mainstream media in recent decades, voter suppression is typically cited by Democrats who say Republicans aim to keep progressive voters from turning out. He said he “absolutely” believes that polls this year are meant to suppress Republican turnout.

Excerpt: https://justthenews.com/politics-policy/elections/mainstream-media-using-polls-suppress-trump-voter-turnout-nigel-farage


34 posted on 10/30/2020 10:15:56 AM PDT by Grampa Dave (I would rather be killed by Covid than by Loneliness, at the end of my life! I'll be 82 in November!)
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