Is this further evidence of the enthusiasm gap for Biteme Biden?
Here’s an interesting site (click on each state):
https://data.tallahassee.com/early-voting-turnout/
A state I know something about is Oregon. Some points of interest:
1. Oregon has had mail-in ballots for a long time, so they are experienced at vote-by-mail. (Didn’t need to develop a new system; didn’t need to educate voters on “how to.”)
2. Oregon is reliably BLUE. The left half of the state has the bulk of the population, and obviously everyone knows of radical left PORTLAND. The right side of the state is rural, RED, but low population.
3. As of Oct. 29, Oregon has only returned 82.6% the number of ballots returned in EV (early voting) in 2016:
2020 is 82.6% to 2016 voting levels
2020 Early Voting Total
(as of Oct. 29, 2020) 1,695,010
2016 Early Voting Total 2,051,452
This could mean....
A reliably Democrat population, who is experienced in mailing ballots, and has been told by Dems for weeks to “get your ballots in early”.... is 17.4% BEHIND their return-rate from 2016.
These are rather shocking numbers.
Bookmark
Great post on Oregon.
The dirty little secret of this election is that Biden is the weakest Democratic candidate in decades, and many Democrats are not very enthusiastic about him.
That will mean that the Democratic turnout will be the lowest in several elections, and that brings states like Oregon within reach of the President.
The mass media _never_ admits low turnout, particularly with Democrats. That is one reason they never saw the Hillary collapse in the Rust Belt in 2016 until after the fact.
“Is this further evidence of the enthusiasm gap for Biteme Biden?”
If there are already more votes this year than all of 2016 it is hard to take this as a decline in enthusiasm for either candidate.