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The Sad and Sorry History of Election Predictions
American Thinker.com ^ | October 30, 2020 | Patrick J. Walsh

Posted on 10/30/2020 7:00:07 AM PDT by Kaslin

It's no secret that the predictions of so-called "scientific polls" have been very wide of the mark over the past five years. Remember the 2016 election in the USA and Brexit in England? Both polls were wrong.

Amid all the loud vociferation of the media shouting the results of polls they have oftentimes commissioned, it's forgotten that the only poll that counts is the poll that the voter votes in.

It's well to remember that opinion polls are bought and paid by various special interests who seek to influence and change the way people vote or to discourage them from voting for the opposing candidate.

Polls are manipulated by asking questions in a certain manner to a selective audience till one gets the results one is looking for. In this sampling, polling numbers are often selected or inflated and even manufactured for the purpose of affirming the popularity of the candidate just by proclaiming that he is popular. This method is anything but scientific.

Scientific polling is not a science. It's a kind of faith and hope that people polled are telling the truth. It's a prediction as to how people will vote in the future.

Pagan Rome had its own methods of predicting the future. Their priests or augurs used to throw the entrails of chickens on the ground and by the scrupulous examination of them would predict future events. British journalist Malcolm Muggeridge once said that this procedure was, "much more accurate and enlightened than our public opinion polls."


(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Politics/Elections
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1 posted on 10/30/2020 7:00:07 AM PDT by Kaslin
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To: Kaslin

Great article...but I am going to hijack your post. I’m reading the article and annoying Google ads pop up. Then I think to myself “Why would a conservative site like Americanthinker.com or any other conservative site feed the beast and use Google for advertising?”


2 posted on 10/30/2020 7:09:13 AM PDT by frogjerk
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To: frogjerk
I stopped the Google popups, but Townhall is always asking me to allow ads. I just ignore them.

Yeah when I go to the American Thinker I always get a popup that asks me to let the advertisements show. The funny thing is I have never seen any ads in the American Thinker, so I just ignore that pop up.

3 posted on 10/30/2020 7:26:33 AM PDT by Kaslin
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To: frogjerk

The only ads I am getting on American Thinker are for protein powder this morning.


4 posted on 10/30/2020 9:05:33 AM PDT by fireman15
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