You say turnout is down in Philly.As you note, were hoping for 15% - more, please God - of the black vote.
But even at 15%, each two points of drop in turnout is as good as 1 point of actual voting for Trump. Not voting at all is halfway to voting R.
True. I’ve always counted a stay at home as half a Trump vote.
Still, there is something magic about that 80% level. If Biteme is below 80% with blacks, he’s finished. Cankles lost with 88% black vote.