Looking at D VBM rate.
They had a good day yesterday on VBM, gain of 2.2 points.
Lets say 2 points for Thursday, Friday, Saturday and 1 point for Sunday.
That would put D VBM rate at 79.6 on Election Eve morning. Pretty high.
By my calculations, throughout the 10 day IPEV period, vote share for all votes has been:
Rs = 41.7%
Ds = 36.2%
Is = 22.1%
During this period 4,813,282 votes were cast or 66% of all votes through last night.
Do you think that vote share % is a reasonable projection of the remaining split?
Looking at D VBM rate.
They had a good day yesterday on VBM, gain of 2.2 points.
Lets say 2 points for Thursday, Friday, Saturday and 1 point for Sunday.
That would put D VBM rate at 79.6 on Election Eve morning. Pretty high.
—
what about Monday?
and even those received Tuesday
FYI D return rate in Sumter broke 80% yesterday