Posted on 10/29/2020 6:10:44 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
“Congrats! Very impressive, and really cool, that you put together a site that everyone is turning in to. As you said, ‘Joe is done.’ CLASSIC!”
To be clear, byecomey developed JoeIsDone.
He is the man.
Guys, this is too funny.
Look at whois.com
type in joeisdone.com
Someone registered that name this week.
hahaha.
Who will register KamalaIsDone.com? You know for 2024.
Broke the 200K mark at 10:10 eastern with 199,579
daily:
Rep EV +5197
Dem mail +3453
Net Rep + 1744
Of course it is a Trump lead!
OMG HAHAHAHAHAHAAAAAAAA
Your updates are super helpful, thank you!
That is great news!
And the religion of peace kills 3 more in a church in Nice France.
I found the food in Nice to be more Italian than French.
Walk along the Promenade and you will see the Muslims.
Looking at D VBM rate.
They had a good day yesterday on VBM, gain of 2.2 points.
Lets say 2 points for Thursday, Friday, Saturday and 1 point for Sunday.
That would put D VBM rate at 79.6 on Election Eve morning. Pretty high.
—
what about Monday?
and even those received Tuesday
FYI D return rate in Sumter broke 80% yesterday
Duval less than 1k behind in IPEV now.
D 85,580
R 84,619
WOW. Politico came out this morning and is saying Biden is not making it in FL due to improved for-Trump cuban-american vote. That’s some admission from the other side.
https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/29/biden-narrow-lead-florida-hispanics-433570
“While Florida isn’t a must-win state for Biden as it is for Trump, a failure to generate stronger numbers among Hispanics could ensure he loses the state’s 29 electoral votes. Clinton received 62 percent of the Florida Hispanic vote in 2016, according to exit polls, and still lost here.
“If Biden is going to flip Florida, he has to at least match Clinton’s numbers among Hispanics and that looks like it’s not going to happen,” said Brad Coker, pollster for Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy, who conducted the poll.
“Even if he were to pull most of the undecided vote still out there, Trump is going to do better this time than he did last time,” Coker added. Trump received 35 percent of the Florida Hispanic vote in 2016 exit polls.”
I do think a lot of us are going to be surprised on Election Day at how many Republicans voted early this election.
The old axiom "Republicans vote on Election Day" is still mostly true but with each cycle, more and more are discovering the convenience of early and mail-in voting. That was bound to happen.
Don’t know if it is true, but read a lot of conservative voters have moved from Maricopa and Pima to more rural areas. I have, and plan to move FURTHER. I think the polls have been polling Maricopa and Pima. That would skew them low for Trump. No way moving to a small town will affect my desire to vote!
Will make it easier, not harder!
Some interesting Wisconsin data through 10/28 Absentee/early ballots.
Blue counties Dane and Milwaukee combine for 29.8% of the total early vote. We need this to get down close to 25% by the time all the vote is in, and it has been falling each day. It was 25.1% in 2016 and 25.7% in 2018 when Evers narrowly defeated Walker.
Dane 73.3% of their total 2016 vote
MKE 61.1% of their total 2016 vote
Waukesha 67% of their total 2016 vote
Ozaukee 69% of their total 2016 vote
Washington 62.2% of their total 2016 vote
The WOW counties also are accounting for 14.7% of the absentee/early vote which is great. The number in 2016 was 12.4% and in 2018 12.8%.
Brown county (Green Bay) has 65% of their 2016 share already in.
Racine and Kenosha also showing up with 61.3% and 63.9% of their 2016 share, respectively.
Just to compare this to the entire state, only 56% of the 2016 vote total is in. Many rural voters are waiting until election day, that is very obvious from these numbers.
Link?
that was 2 days ago
any updates?
“We are going to estimate D overall turnout at their VBM return rate on Election Eve morning.
Then assume they add 5 points to that number over last 2 days. Then assume they underperform that number by 5 points with all in person voting (IPEV+ED). [net we estimate all in person voting is 10 points under final VBM percent]”
2 trends we’ve noticed in our daily postings.
1). D turnout likely to be higher than 2016.
2). Miami-Dade could deliver a huge stash of votes for Trump.
Some politico guy accidently landed on FR and read some of our posts.
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