couple things to keep in mind about this...
- there are over 1.4 million independent votes as well...you would think they’d break for Trump at a pretty good percentage but none of us know that
- if R’s act like they normally act on Election Day, then yes, we will overcome any D advantage that may be left after early voting stops...for instance, Hillary had a 96k advantage going into Election Day
- there “should be” plenty of R voters left for Election Day so I don’t think we’re cannibalizing our Election Day voters during Early Voting
- R’s voter registration has been on fire since 2016 in Florida with a net-gain of 200k vs. the D’s
- In 2016, D’s had about a 350k lead in registered voters...today, that is below 130k
Good post.
7 in my family. Still haven’t voted.