Have to say, the Florida data doesn’t support a Biden +8/+10 point national lead.
Rs may go into Election Day in Florida down 150k??? 125k???
Not far off 96k in 2016.
Unless Biden wins large crossovers and wins Indies in huge numbers, I don’t see it.
Have to say, the Florida data doesn’t support a Biden +8/+10 point national lead.
Rs may go into Election Day in Florida down 150k??? 125k???
Not far off 96k in 2016.
Unless Biden wins large crossovers and wins Indies in huge numbers, I don’t see it
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The numbers suggest that a backlash is brewing against the AOC-wing of the Democrat Party. The Florida counties with the highest % of Democrat turnout are ALL Trump counties: Sumter, Collier, Lee, etc. I find it hard to believe that this high D turnout (as compared to more liberal areas of the state) is all a function of anti-Trump enthusiasm. Older Democrats, when they were younger, were pro-police, had no problem standing for the National Anthem, etc. I’m seeing the same with unaffiliateds. Bigger turnout in Trump counties.