LS-——Collier County, SW Florida and “ground zero” for Trump’s base in Florida, is blowing it out the door in turnout. 127K have already voted, which is 75% of 2016 turnout (170K).
I was just about to point that out
But could be it be bad news? there will be less voters for the REP surge on ED there
Or good news? The overall turnout will be higher then 2016 there
So, Collier apparently has a lot of white working-class voters and retirees. A lot of these folks are registered “Democrats” but are really conservative/Republican leaning. TargetSmart models voters. As of right now, they project that Trump would have 66% of the vote if we opened ballots today. Republican turnout is increasing every day b/c Dems shot their wad with mail-ins, and Republicans always out-vote Dems on Election Day. 70% at least, but Trump may get 75%.