So why did you say AZ is going to flip?
“So why did you say AZ is going to flip?”
Misunderstanding. AZ isn’t going to flip from R to D.
AZ is going to flip in the betting markets from Biden to Trump.
Florida and NC recently flipped in betting markets from Biden to Trump on PredictIt. NC is close to 50/50 and just went back to Biden at 51 cents.
AZ is right now at 56 cents Biden. That means 56% odds Biden takes AZ according to those betting.
I think AZ will flip to Trump in betting markets before the election.
Take a look at the USA map at https://www.predictit.org/
When AZ and NC are red in that map and we are close to that, the map looks pretty much where we were heading into the 2016 election. Trump will need to win one of PA/MI/WI/MN for the presidency.