D VBM return rate is 65.3%. Yesterday was 63.1%
R VBM return rate is 61.8%
3.5 point gap. Closing ever so slowly.
No postal mail today so similar numbers tomorrow.
6 days of VBM updates until Election Eve.
D returns increases by 2.2 points from yesterday.
2.2*6 = 13.2 + 65.3 = 78.5% ==> current turnout trajectory
78.5 would make it a close race but a losing race
Return rate difference in NC down to 2.3%. We’ll take the field goal hoping for several touchdowns next week.