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To: SpeedyInTexas

D VBM return rate is 65.3%. Yesterday was 63.1%

R VBM return rate is 61.8%

3.5 point gap. Closing ever so slowly.

No postal mail today so similar numbers tomorrow.

6 days of VBM updates until Election Eve.

D returns increases by 2.2 points from yesterday.
2.2*6 = 13.2 + 65.3 = 78.5% ==> current turnout trajectory
78.5 would make it a close race but a losing race


10 posted on 10/25/2020 6:58:07 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Return rate difference in NC down to 2.3%. We’ll take the field goal hoping for several touchdowns next week.


19 posted on 10/25/2020 7:13:22 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: SpeedyInTexas
78.5 would make it a close race but a losing race ---‐--------- Can you clarify?
23 posted on 10/25/2020 7:17:28 AM PDT by Raycpa
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