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North Carolina Early Voting update (yes, good news again)
North Carolina State Board Elections ^ | October 24, 2020 | bort

Posted on 10/24/2020 5:41:02 AM PDT by bort

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To: carton253; Golden Eagle
I’m in southwest Ohio. Biden has a presence on tv...but it’s token. It’s like he’s not even trying. I have barely any Trump ads. Why? Two reasons. Either Trump is ahead and Biden knows it. Or the polls are right...and this race has been over for a long time.

I appreciate the local feedback. I have good friends near Dayton, and one works at WPAFB. But both of your points beg the question - why is Trump rallying in Ohio? Trump pulled his ad $$ from OH and IA weeks ago. I firmly believed at the time (and still do) that Trump knew he had OH sewn up. He won OH by 8.6 points and IA by 9.6 points four years ago. I still think he outperforms his 2016 results by at least 5 points. But I cannot figure out OH rallies, unless a) Trump's people saw worrisome trends after he pulled his $$$, or b) he's trying to run up the score in friendly territory to win the popular vote. But if it's b), he could do the same thing (and probably more effectively) in CA or NY, and help down ballot Pubbies.

61 posted on 10/24/2020 10:20:22 AM PDT by Coop (After 14 years, it's time for a new tagline)
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To: Mr Rogers
I’m starting to think polling is going the way of buggy whips: No longer worth paying for.

Fully agree. They've been jokes all year. For the next week plus we'll be hearing about Trump making a comeback. Pfffllttt!!

I do like that the POTUS/VPOTUS event schedules don't show anything in AZ right now. That, along with a couple of McSally polls and Trump's 2016 AZ win by 4+ points, makes me think the GOP power players are liking what they see in AZ.

62 posted on 10/24/2020 10:22:49 AM PDT by Coop (After 14 years, it's time for a new tagline)
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To: Coop
He's guaranteed to draw a huge crowd, and energy. Images like these from just last night in Florida send a message. And states like OH and FL are hardly conceded if you listed to the mainstream press.


63 posted on 10/24/2020 10:32:10 AM PDT by Golden Eagle (Hope for the best, but prepare for the worst. Anything less is a sign of weakness.)
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To: Coop

You can ask the questions...but we don’t know the answers because we don’t know what internal polling the Trump team is looking at.


64 posted on 10/24/2020 10:35:19 AM PDT by carton253 (Jesus is everything.)
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To: carton253
You can ask the questions...but we don’t know the answers because we don’t know what internal polling the Trump team is looking at.

And it's just NOT FAIR!! :-D

65 posted on 10/24/2020 10:41:51 AM PDT by Coop (After 14 years, it's time for a new tagline)
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To: Coop

There is another way to look at the Ohio or Nebraska stops. I’ve studied many of the Civil War battles. You make sure your flanks are secure...then you go on the offense. The Ohio stop will cover the fracking/coal country of West Virginia, Kentucky, and Pennsylvania. The Nebraska stop will shore up that pesky 1 electorial vote in Nebraska, Iowa, and Missouri.

With your flanks secure...you concentrate on Nevada and New Hampshire...these two are on the schedule.


66 posted on 10/24/2020 10:47:37 AM PDT by carton253 (Jesus is everything.)
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To: Coop

Or another way to look at the Ohio or Nebraska stops. I’ve studied many of the Civil War battles. You make sure your flanks are secure...then you go on the offense. The Ohio stop will cover the fracking/coal country of West Virginia, Kentucky, and Pennsylvania. The Nebraska stop will shore up that pesky 1 electorial vote in Nebraska, Iowa, and Missouri.

With your flanks secure...you concentrate on Nevada and New Hampshire...these two are on the schedule.


67 posted on 10/24/2020 10:50:08 AM PDT by carton253 (Jesus is everything.)
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To: Coop

I agree. It’s not fair!!


68 posted on 10/24/2020 10:50:47 AM PDT by carton253 (Jesus is everything.)
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To: carton253

As is Minnesota (VPOTUS, 10/26, in Hibbing). And a POTUS rally in De Pere WI was just added for 10/27.


69 posted on 10/24/2020 10:59:14 AM PDT by Coop (After 14 years, it's time for a new tagline)
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To: Coop

That’s good news.


70 posted on 10/24/2020 11:02:43 AM PDT by carton253 (Jesus is everything.)
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To: LS

Amen!


71 posted on 10/24/2020 12:49:59 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration
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To: MHT

Most Republicans aren’t scared of Covid


72 posted on 10/24/2020 12:53:26 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration
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To: bort

According to Trafalgar’s Cahily (and Richard Baris from Peoples Pundit) the exit polls were wrong (as they always are...:-) and Trump got 10% of the black vote in 2016.

Every poll in this cycle that I have seen that breaks down the cross tabs has Trump in the mid to high teens in black vote and blacks are even more likely than whites to be “shy” Trump voters not captured by the polls since they are likely to get more negative feedback in their community than we even do.

The internet is full of videos produced by black men (and recently even some black women) boldly supporting Trump (something you didn’t see in 2016.) Candace Owens Blexit movement has been very successful.

I think you are in for a nice surprise...:-)


73 posted on 10/24/2020 3:37:42 PM PDT by Cathi
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