I am not sure the Republican early voting turnout is going to significantly exceed 2016’s Republican EV turnout. They are “only” at 65% levels of comparative 2016 turnout. It seems their normal VBM advantage is being channeled into IPEV.
In 2016, Rs had 81.2% turnout. Do you know how that broke down: VBM, IPEV, and ED?
I am trying to figure out why people are anticipating Rs outnumbering Ds on election day on an even more lopsided level this year than 2016?
Does it have less to do with R behavior and more to do with D’s? (much higher % of EV to ED voting)?