Duval, Pinellas, Seminole and St Lucie are also counties that went Trump -> Gillum. They are the true purple counties.
I don’t like the look of either Duval or Seminole this year. R turnout down even in IPEV numbers. Seminole is just too close to Orange which is turning into the Detroit/Philly of Florida.
I used to live in Orange county and Seminole was bright red then. Growth of the suburbs and I don’t know what else.
Duval has been slowly slipping for a while.
On the bright side, other red counties like Clay, Nassau, and St. Johns are growing too and help offset the blue bleed.
Miami-Dade shouldn’t be as deep blue as it was in 2016.
Fortunately, Florida is a big state with many smaller, conservative communities that will help KAG.