Posted on 10/21/2020 5:51:22 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
I understand.
I hope you are right also. November 3rd will be less stressful.
You know, just the future of the Republic at stake...
Yes for both parties. You ask the most important question - how much cannibalization is occurring on both sides. Per TargetSmart, 75.3% of the ballots have come from “frequent” and “super voters.” I assume that to mean people who have at least voted in 3 out of the past 4 general elections. Only 4.6% are first-time voters.
Amen!
I just pushed in a D-R gap total in the totals column for math convenience. As you click on all EV / IPEV only / Mail only buttons, it’ll change to reflect that.
Agreed. Things can certainly change, but Miami-Dade is showing a net 8% improvement for POTUS relative to 2016 and relative o other "blue" counties. I suspect POTUS is getting a decent chunk of the 200K vote (diff between Rubia and POTUS in 2016) this time around.
49k. Heading towards 350k...
Closing on 49,000 and it’s not even 10:30.
Ha, simul-post.
Great news.
Democrats told pollsters that a plurality of them plan to vote early and by mail. Not surprising.
Republicans told pollsters that a plurality of them plan to vote in-person on election day. Not surprising.
About 20% of everyone told pollsters they plan to vote early and in-person. So, a Republican lead in IPEV is good news because it shows Republicans are better at doing what they say their going to do.
Just a reminder - tracking 20 counties vs 2016 and 2018.
Added NPA share as another barometer.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/18U0IkZTXqGPhqWmK4QGtMO25BqR9RPvB5xPjgiCLQbs/edit#gid=0
1% is wayyyy too close. Not liking it AT ALL.
The numbers out of Miami Dade appear to be great news. What is the percentage of the black vote?
Sorry, I should have posted the link at the beginning of this
thread.
I will do so tomorrow.
1% is what he won by last time. Florida is just not a state your going to win by 4 or 5% at this time. It could go either way but i’d say not more than 1.5%. I fully expect Trump to win it though, and probably more than 2016 by a hair.
2016 was 1.2%
With bigger voting numbers this year, 1% could be a slightly larger raw vote victory.
As Davis of the Raiders use to say, “Just Win Baby”.
I know LS doesn’t believe in voter fraud as a game changer, but 1% seems within reach.
From your lips to God’s ear.
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