I think you have to add 7 pts to Trump in any poll to adjust for the Dem vs Rep sampling and the shy Trump voter and Trump supporting blue collar Dems (called Reagan Dems in the old days).
Other than the never-Trump voter, how could anyone support a 77 year old feeble, mentally declining, guy who doesn’t campaign who is dodging a classic corruption scandal? My eyes tell me something else than these polls do.
Trump lost the popular vote last time by 2%, he is running 8% better this time. I believe he holds that margin. If it applies equally to all states he should hold what he had last time and add VA, NH, MN, ME, and CO. NM becomes a tossup. I would add OR as a tossup as well simply because I have to believe that people outside of Portland are sickened by what has been happening. I am worried about PA, if the rats are going to go all in on vote fraud anywhere that will be the place.
As far as the public polls go this is all scripted. They are showing the race tightening because the debate is on Thursday and they have to be able to show positive results for Biden. Expect the overnight and weekend polls to show Biden opening up a lead. Furthermore the Thursday, Friday before the election (29th and 30th) the polls will begin to tighten back up so the pollsters can maintain some credibility. They have played this exact game in previous elections and it is as predictable as the sunrise.