Only two things to watch: Polls shutdown due to COVID. Secretary of States. Bush v Gore was not decided by Supreme Court. They just honored the Florida Secretary of State. I do not know what the breakdown of D and R Secretary of States in swing states, but it does make a huge difference if it is not a total blowout.
The fear that polls will not be accessible to voters on Nov 3 is why I voted early for the first time ever. Could it be that Dem governors are keeping their own economies from recovering so they can have an excuse to close polls on Nov 3?