So IBD/TIPP poll now has it a 5 point race. I do think IBD/TIPP is in the top tier of pollsters.
National GE:
Biden 50% (+5)
Trump 45%
Jorgensen 2%
Hawkins 1%
https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1317865405885632514
Trump doesn’t need to win popular vote. If he is within 3% of pop, he will likely win.
I won’t be surprised if IBD poll gets within 3 points by election day.
I think it VERY important that Trump win the popular vote, and by a decent margin (over 2m).
Nate Silver and Dave Wasserman still think Biden wins.
Election night may cause many heads to explode. May make 2016 election night seem Jolly by comparison.