Posted on 10/17/2020 10:20:45 PM PDT by 11th_VA
According to vote-by-mail data and a new non-big media poll, Donald Trump is in phenomenal shape in Arizona [5-7% Lead] . I analyze the past trends in the state as well as the data at hand in this video.
(Excerpt) Read more at m.youtube.com ...
can he drag mcsally accross the finish line with him...
I doubt it. I just 3 or 4 mark Kelly commercials during one commercial break. His commercials are well done, they paint him as a patriot and a law enforcement supporter and unfortunately a lot of people believe it.
Meanwhile mcsally runs the worst commercials i have ever seen. I am so tired of hearing about her being a strong woman. I could care less about her gender. I voted for but honestly I feel as if she is only for the women of arizona and does not care to represent men.
It isn’t the votes cast that are dangerous.
It is the votes remaining available to fill in later that are.
L8r
“It’s not the people who vote that count, it’s the people who count the votes.”
thanQ for the on the ground report.
cripes ...that’s gunna hurt...
You assume traditional commercials still decide elections.
No, but I know Trump supporters who are fooled by the commercials and plan to vote for Kelly. I hope I am wrong. If mcsally wins it will be a miracle in my opinion.
Agreed. When I checked y’day Baris had her 5% behind Trump which is basically Trump’s margin in AZ.
She will be reelected, we need to keep her vote.
Two weeks is plenty of time to make up 5%. I am sure Trump will be campaigning with her in the next two weeks. We can’t lose the Senate.
AZ valley has turned into CA appendage, it’s sad.
Why couldn’t they nominate a real candidate for that Senate seat? I don’t know much about her but she seems like a horrible candidate.
CA It’s a very conservative state, until other states started cramming their idiots into here. Goes both ways.
How is that possible? What is wrong with some people? You sort the RINOs out during the primaries, but after that you vote for anyone with an (R) next to their name, period. What sense does it make to elect Trump and then block his (and our) agenda with a dem-controlled congress?
Seriously, anyone doing what you are suggesting above is a Grade A moron.
I never hear the border wall / border security issues being discussed when talking about Arizona 2020 elections. HUGE issue for this state - should move the needle at least a few points in favor of Trump.
His raw data on the on-line survey showed even when the makup was 73% women, it was STILL a tie between Trump and Biteme!
Actually, I spoke with Baris yesterday about this poll.
It’s surprising: his internals looked at people here from birth; first gen; second gen; etc.
Among those here the shortest time, they were the MOST CONSERVATIVE.
I have said this this entire cycle...
Actually stated it years ago.
Trump will outperform his 2016 numbers across the board, period.
He will win every state he took in 16 and get most of not all states he lost by less than 5 points... and don’t be shocked if he picks off a few he lost by more than 5.
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