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To: All

*Fantastic news via Dan Bongino.*

Here’s more to add to this:

Dr. Helmut Norpoth’s election model is based on turnout during the primaries, produces the correct result for 25 out of the 27 presidential elections that featured primaries, and predicts a red wave in 2020 with an electoral map that looks like this:

https://mobile.twitter.com/BlakeLinton/status/1317081709574311942


2 posted on 10/16/2020 4:44:20 PM PDT by Its All Over Except ... (If You Haven't Realized You Are In Clooo Much Time At The Circus)
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To: Its All Over Except ...

A Trump win in New Mexico is a hard swallow for me, but the rest of the map looks do-able.


9 posted on 10/16/2020 4:50:37 PM PDT by cgbg (Masters don't want slaves talking about masters and slaves.)
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To: Its All Over Except ...

Now, THAT’D be more like it!!


21 posted on 10/16/2020 5:00:19 PM PDT by ScottinVA (First, letÂ’s deal with the election; then weÂ’ll deal with BLM.)
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To: Its All Over Except ...

RE: Dr. Helmut Norpoth’s election model is based on turnout during the primaries, produces the correct result for 25 out of the 27 presidential elections that featured primaries, and predicts a red wave in 2020

I’m just curious as to which two elections he missed.

Here’s the last 27 Presidential elections:

2016 Trump-Hillary
2012 Obama-Romney
2008 Obama-McCain
2004 Bush-Kerry
2000 Bush-Gore
1996 Clinton-Dole
1992 Clinton-Bush
1988 Bush-Dukakis
1984 Reagan-Mondale
1980 Reagan-Carter
1976 Carter-Ford
1972 Nixon-McGovern
1968 Nixon-Humphrey
1964 LBJ-Goldwater
1960 JFK-Nixon
1956 Eisenhower-Stevenson
1952 Eisenhower-Stevenson
1948 Truman-Dewey
1944 FDR-Dewey
1940 FDR-Willkie
1936 FDR-Landon
1932 FDR-Hoover
1928 Hoover-Smith
1924 Coolidge-Davis
1920 Harding-Cox
1916 Wilson-Hughes
1912 Wilson-Roosevelt
1908 Taft-Bryant

So, which ones did Dr. Norpoth’s model miss?


23 posted on 10/16/2020 5:03:59 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: Its All Over Except ...

No no no. We are behind. We must keep pushing.


38 posted on 10/16/2020 5:24:59 PM PDT by Mouton (The enemy of the people is the media.)
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To: Its All Over Except ...

Wow! NY. That would be something.


41 posted on 10/16/2020 5:32:42 PM PDT by enumerated
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To: Its All Over Except ...

New Hampshire. is not Republican any more.

Should rename it North Massachusetts.


51 posted on 10/16/2020 6:28:12 PM PDT by Alas Babylon! (The only thing worse than COVID-19 is Biden-20!)
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