State of Play: New Mexico

10/13/2020 | self

[SpeedyInTexas]

Its early but, “more New Mexico registered Republicans have voted in-person early than Democrats”

https://twitter.com/ElectProject/status/1316439209465573376/photo/1

[Coop]

but I still don’t see Trump winning the Gary Johnson voters there, who are in CO sharply leftists.

Then why pick Republican Gary Johnson with leftist Jill Stein on the ballot?? I'm not saying I'm right and you're wrong. I'm just saying that up until today (when I saw a Town Hall article - I think) I really haven't seen anyone look at what I consider the overperformance of 3rd partiers in 2016. I think it was more at Trump's expense, since Johnson/McMullin outdid Stein about 3:1 or 4:1. That, combined with Trump's proven record and improved GOP approval numbers (& enthusiasm gap), is why I'm optimistic the Prez outdoes his 2016 performance.

Now that's my national perspective. You could be right in CO. But because Stein only earned 1.3 points, while Johnson/McMullin took about four times that amount, I think those voters could be more open to DJT.