I do believe Trump will win, but Wayne Allyn Root predicted Romney would win in a landslide in 2012.
I bought coal stocks in 2011 expecting a Romney win. Lost my A$$.
Had Romney got the same voter turnout that McCain did in 2008, he likely would have defeated Obama in 2012. Many on our side just simply stayed home that night and did not vote for Democrat Lite.
You are correct, I just checked. He did.
Predicted Romney would win in a landslide. . .
That gives me no comfort in his prediction now.
BUT, I remember that election well and have thought about it often. It is mainly because this election reminds me of it with Biden playing the role of Romney.
Obama, like Trump, has deep rooted support that was in place. Romney thought he could rely on dissatisfaction with the Obamacare disaster and make a “better Obama than Obama” case to the voters by being an “etchosketch” to the voters. He relied on his base’s (justified) mass disgust with Obama to keep them in line.
But it was not a great sell, especially from the guy who authored Obamacare before Obama did.
Come Election Day he had no, zero excitement from his base. It was a “hold your nose” moment and it wasn’t anywhere near enough to overcome Obama’s deep rooted support that was part worship and part advantage of incumbency. His supporters all returned home.
I see the same thing here but even worse. I have never seen a GOP base (sans the NeverTrumpers and suburban squishes) this motivated. Biden relies purely on Trump hate while having far left policies but hedging on them enough to be his own brand of echosketch leaving doubt in his base. His main case of systematic racism being undermined by the simple fact that he is an old white guy.
Hatred of Trump might drive the diehards to the polls but it won’t get the lazy, live in the basements types. They are lagging in even mail in votes. If they can’t kick a stamp, I doubt that they can be bothered to get out on Election Day.
And finally there is this cherry. Olin have not seen a GOP candidate do this kind of outreach to traditional democrat voters in my lifetime. And by outreach, I don’t mean the usual lip service of snowing up at a few events here and there. I mean the implementation of actual policies that were not even dreamed of under Dem Presidents.
Despite that, I believe blacks will come home to momma on Election Day but more significantly, not even vote. But other groups will not come home and will find a new home.
In short, Trump has shifted the GOP base while increasing it. I don’t see the Dems having convinced anyone to join and having lost support.
We shall see but I am cautiously confident,
Romney in 2012?
Wrong