Me neither.
My best explanation is that Trump’s internal polling shows him surging and he has nothing to gain from the exposure.
However that runs counter to all of the polls averaged by Real Clear Politics. If he is in fact behind it makes no sense to throw away the opportunity. Coming as it does in the wake of breaking off negotiations on the virus bailout monies, it seems illogical. I just don’t get it.
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You do get it. You are just a little gun-shy to go out on the end of the limb and say it. Like Carlos Osweda said, President Trump would not cut off the G negotiations on the stimulus had he not known beyond a shadow of a doubt after looking at all of the internal polling and all of the possible scenarios he knows that he will indeed win. Yes that includes all of the shenanigans. He feels confident enough - and trusts his inner circle advisors enough - to make such a decision. In the same vein is his decision to not do the debate. Go out on the limb, NB, it will hold us.
For what it’s worth, while I fear we are losing this election I do not believe in averaging polls. We have a poll that said Trump was ahead by one point. We have a poll that says Trump is behind by 14 points. Does that mean the true answer is Trump is behind by 7 points? What if he’s actually ahead by 1?
Averaging bad polls is silly.