[Vermont Lt]

I wish that the stories on these things would remind people that it isn’t a popularity contest. Biden will take MA by 30 points. But it doesn’t matter if it’s 1 point or 30. He doesn’t get more EV by winning a greater margin.

I cannot believe there are still people who don’t understand this.

[cowboyusa]

He will win CA by 40! He cam win by 5 pts, and still lose the Electoral College.

[nbenyo]

You are really grasping. Biden will win the electoral college if he wins the popular vote by 5 or more.

Its not over, but its not looking good.

[Grampa Dave]

“Biden will take MA by 30 points. But it doesn’t matter if it’s 1 point or 30. He doesn’t get more EV by winning a greater margin.

I cannot believe there are still people who don’t understand this.”

Maybe they are being paid by the ChiComs to clutch their pearls and say, “This is so bad!”

[Wayne07]

"He doesn’t get more EV by winning a greater margin."

Everyone here understands popular vote doesn't directly impact electoral vote, but a large popular vote gap is a massive warning signal on which way swing states are going to land.

Trump lost to Hilary by 2% of the popular vote, and won the electoral college by carrying swing states that Democrats have recently won like Michigan and Pennsylvania by a small margin. If Trump loses the popular vote by 12% or 10% or even 5%, those states will swing back to blue, and it will be an electoral loss.

[Kazan]

I wish that the stories on these things would remind people that it isn’t a popularity contest.

Trump isn't winning the electoral college is he's down 12 points nationally. Two or three points is about the most any candidate could be beyond in the national poll and win in the electoral college.

It's painfully obvious that he is getting the blame for not taking Covid-19 seriously after his diagnosis.

I just hope there is enough time to get the focus back on other issues, including what horrible President Biden would be.

[Phillyred]

Why does a national poll matter again?

[Mariner]

“I cannot believe there are still people who don’t understand this.”

12 points, if real, just about ensures an Electoral College victory.

Rasmussen protocols have been generally well respected on FR.

And anyone who thinks POTUS has gained ground since the debate is not paying attention.

[A_Former_Democrat]

But it is a popularity contest with a large segment of voters, especially women

The GOP has failed to get the full message out. Riots in the streets, coming to you soon suburban moms

Joe Biden will crash the economy, and he’s lying about taxes. The Green New Deal We can’t afford Joe Biden and he’ll raise taxes on everyone

There’s more . .

[StAnDeliver]

"I wish that the stories on these things would remind people that it isn’t a popularity contest. Biden will take MA by 30 points. But it doesn’t matter if it’s 1 point or 30. He doesn’t get more EV by winning a greater margin. I cannot believe there are still people who don’t understand this."

AND THEY NEVER WILL. But don't let that stop you from having the meta convo with statistically-enlightened Freepers.

And to that end, look at Rasmussen's Presidential Approval Tracking. We both know Trump is safe to repeat if 47%+. There is so much ridiculous noise in this tracking that smoothing it with regression still has Trump WAY into the sweet spot despite this weird dropout last poll session.