[gw-ington]

RCP is the average of many leftist skewed polls, plus a few legitimate ones. Garbage in, garbage out. In 2016, the RCP general election polls average predicted just before the election that Hillary would win the popular vote by 3.3%. In the actual election results, Hillary won the popular vote by 2.1%. Considering the margin of error, that's very accurate.

[AndyJackson]

RCP general election polls average predicted just before the election that Hillary would win the popular vote by 3.3%. In the actual election results, Hillary won the popular vote by 2.1%. Considering the margin of error, that's very accurate

In other words, the polls lie right up to the deadline of having their credibility checked at which point they lie within the margin of error.

[cowboyusa]

Biden is ahead of where Clinton was at this time nationally, but behind wetevsje was in the swing states. I think Biden will win the popular vote by 4 percent, but lose the Electotal College.

[SmokingJoe]

The RCP average only tightened at the very end. Even 2 weeks before the elections, ABC/WASHINGTON POST had Hilary Clinton winning by a massive 12 points.

[OldGoatCPO]

That change in the RCP came because outliers that had Hillary up by large numbers tightened before November. The polls adjust their methodology so they do not look like complete idiots. At least some do. Today Zogby has basically a dead heat and WSJ/NBC say Biden by 14. The average of those two alone skews the RCP average. That is why years ago I stopped looking at RCP. RCP is useless until the last week in October. I predict by the end of the month you will see the RCP average show Biden by +3. Why, because they know Cali, IL and NY will skew the popular vote numbers to Biden. Biden will win the popular vote, be ready for that. But, when you start digging into the number of illegal votes cast in CA and NY, Biden will have an advantage of around +1% of the popular vote. I suspect Biden will win 4 other states but those states will have a large number of Trump voters and not impact the popular vote total by much. If Biden was 14 points in the bag would they be sending out door to door canvassers? If Biden is doing so well, why are MN and NV even thought to be in play? If Biden is winning by such large numbers, why the concern last week over the surge of people registering as GOP? Polls are porn for people who want quick answers. We are a drive thru society and we need everything neatly packaged and quick. It is my fervent wish that Trump blows Biden out of the water and nobody ever quotes a single poll again. By the way, have you noticed how pundits have carefully built in their excuse for looking like idiots. They sure spend a lot of time discussing the “silent majority” lately.