It will come down to turnout. For a while, I was seeing Trump ads on stations other than Fox; figured he must think it’s competitive. Now it’s wall to wall disingenuous Biden ads and no Trump ads.
I live in downtown St. Paul and there is no overt Trump support and you’d be risking much if you showed any. Very sad. Minnesota nice used to be real, but the Twin Cities went through many changes in the 70’s and 80’s not for the better.
I figure the core cities will be 75% Biden, 20% Trump (there’s always fringes that get votes too). Suburbs maybe 55/45 to Biden sadly. Out-state I’d guess 65% Trump now, but there’s still strong DFL history in the farms and the iron range.
At least once a week I get a absentee ballot request form from the county; I’m suspicious of course and will be voting in person.
Overall, I’m pessimistic - it’s my nature anyway.
I haven’t seen many ads for Senate at all, but think that Jason Lewis might have a chance with a good out-state turnout.
Next Spring, I’m out of here.
I see one Trump ad for every 10 Hiden ads across many channels and devices.
I’m in west metro Twin Cities. I watch Fox9 once in awhile. 50/50 Trump Biden ads.
Suburbs 55/45 to Biden??!! It’s more like 80/20 for Trump.
Get out of downtown St. Paul. The real world is not as sad as you picture it. You are a pessimist.