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Nate Silver: The Senate’s Rural Skew Makes It Very Hard For Democrats To Win The Supreme Court
fivethirtyeight.com ^ | SEP. 20, 2020

Posted on 09/20/2020 9:42:14 PM PDT by Helicondelta

Here’s what I do know: the Senate is an enormous problem for Democrats given the current political coalitions, in which Democrats are dominant in cities while Republicans triumph in rural areas.

And because the Senate is responsible for confirming Supreme Court picks, that means the Supreme Court is a huge problem for Democrats too. Sure, Democrats might win back the Senate this year. But in the long run, they’re likely to lose it more often than not.

You can probably grasp intuitively that a legislative body which provides as much representation to Wyoming (population: 580,000) as California (population: 39.5 million) will tend to favor rural areas. But it’s a bigger effect than you might realize

(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS:
Packing the supreme court and ending the filibuster will totally backfire on the dumbocrats unless they give statehood to Washington D.C. and Puerto Rico.
1 posted on 09/20/2020 9:42:14 PM PDT by Helicondelta
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To: Helicondelta

The Senate was designed to thwart mindless mobs, just like the present-day Democrats. It’s working exactly as intended.


2 posted on 09/20/2020 9:45:17 PM PDT by noiseman (The only thing necessary for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing.`)
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To: noiseman

Had Thomas or Kavanaugh been democrats, the media would have treated them more generously.

So it’s harder to derail a nomination of Sotomayor, Kagan, or Ginsberg.

When Ginsberg was appointed, other names rumored were Mario Cuomo and Bruce Babbitt. At the time, I thought Ginsberg would be less dangerous than either of those two.

My guess is that Republicans derail nominations behind the scenes while Democrats do it in the media.


3 posted on 09/20/2020 9:51:52 PM PDT by scrabblehack
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To: Helicondelta

To get statehood they need 2/3 to ratify that ain’t happening but I could see these nut cases actually going for court packing


4 posted on 09/20/2020 9:55:28 PM PDT by Lod881019
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To: Helicondelta

Same article posted 2 1/2 hours ago, with lots of comments.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3886057/posts


5 posted on 09/20/2020 9:56:27 PM PDT by norcal joe
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To: Helicondelta

Nate Silver can leave the country if he thinks the Senate will be abolished.


6 posted on 09/20/2020 9:57:08 PM PDT by ScholarWarrior
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To: ScholarWarrior

CNN aired this?

Youtube: 3m5s: 19 Sept: CNN: Minnesota: Democratic voter on Trump: He’s our guy
CNN’s Martin Savidge speaks with voters in a Democratic stronghold in Minnesota as local attitudes about politics begin to shift.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=njsQJbyL1Xo


7 posted on 09/20/2020 10:00:12 PM PDT by MAGAthon
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To: Helicondelta

The Dems are the party of all kinds of Packing, why would the Supreme Court be any different.

Dems: luggage, to get from riot to riot
fudge
SCOTUS

Repubs only have one kind: Heat


8 posted on 09/20/2020 10:05:02 PM PDT by C210N
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To: Helicondelta

This is their latest talking point, that the Senate is systemically racist. Rural, white, low-population states have the same representation as more diverse heavily populated states. It’s an asinine argument, as the whole idea of the Senate was always as a body where the states had equal dignity.

I’ll tell you, though, this 2020 has more than a whiff of 1860. The Democrats, much like they did 160 years ago, are flirting with rejection of the Constitutional framework and a duly elected president. The Senate is racist. The electoral college is racist. Chaos if the Republican candidate for president wins. Promises to refuse to accept Trump’s reelection “no matter what.”


9 posted on 09/20/2020 10:30:58 PM PDT by irishjuggler
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To: Helicondelta

The United Nations General Assembly is one-state-one-vote. Why don’t the globalists address that before whining about the U.S. Senate?


10 posted on 09/20/2020 11:02:47 PM PDT by Chad_the_Impaler
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To: Lod881019

Court packing alone will beckfire. They won’t keep the senate for long and the republicans will pack it against them. Planned Parenthood can be put out of business within 1 election cycle.


11 posted on 09/20/2020 11:28:47 PM PDT by Helicondelta (Deplorable)
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To: Helicondelta

Nonsense. The Senate had 60 Dem votes in part of 2009. They were capable of getting the numbers. Not retaining them? Actions have consequences.


12 posted on 09/21/2020 3:07:45 AM PDT by jimfree (My19 y/o granddaughter continues to have more quality exec experience than an 8 year Obama.)
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To: Helicondelta
...a legislative body which provides as much representation to Wyoming (population: 580,000) as California (population: 39.5 million)...

This is a good thing. We are the United States. At least in some ways all States need to have equal representation. It cannot all be based on simple majorities of population.

13 posted on 09/21/2020 5:28:11 AM PDT by ThunderSleeps
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To: Helicondelta

“Win the Supreme Court”? What kind of sense does that make when we are talking about lifetime appointees? He is simply showing his desire to overturn the Constitution. A domestic enemy indeed.


14 posted on 09/21/2020 7:51:09 AM PDT by Cincinnatus.45-70 (What do DemocRats enjoy more than a truckload of dead babies? Unloading them wthaith a pitchfork!)
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To: Helicondelta

You know what would fix their problem? If the adopted policies that appealed to rural voters. Then they could win senate elections.

They actually did this in the past, it’s how they got to 60 votes, but then those senators turned their backs on their states, and got voted out, and that’s why republicans are in the majority.

It is also why republicans put up with Murkowski and Collins, because a majority is more important than winning every vote.


15 posted on 09/21/2020 12:27:19 PM PDT by CharlesWayneCT
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