The above link is to the latest Survey USA poll out of North Carolina which shows a 47/47 tie between Trump/Biden. The most interesting nugget in the poll is where the pollster breaks down the numbers based on HOW LIKELY THAT PERSON WILL ACTUALLY VOTE. For those polled who said they were 100% CERTAIN TO VOTE, 83% are Republicans and 71% are Democrats and 74% independents. When they combined the 100% certain people with the “almost certain to vote” people, its 94%R/91%D/86%I. Bottom line: There is a major enthusiasm gap between Rs and Ds in this North Carolina poll. Biden is not exciting the 20/30 something base at all.
the rest of the country is not North Carolina. It’s pretty obvious we’re losing Pennsylvania.