What is the over/under on whether the dam breaks before it overflows???
As of yesterday, authorities said that they expect three days of no rain, which will buy them some time.
At the same time, it has also been noticed that there is some erosion where the dam meets with the landmass,
and that there is some abnormal bowing in the dams architectural structure.
So, in a word, your guess is as good as mine - unknown.