That ‘projection’ of fertility rate has the same hallmarks of inaccuracy as the early WuFlu death rate projections — namely starting with the desired political statement and conclusion, and using imaginary math and pure fiction to bridge the gap between real data and the intended story.
Sure. Starting Just Right Now the fertility rate will just take a massive drop steeper than the Womyns’ Lib (and One-Child China) 70s for reasons unstated and unsupported. Cue the ‘yea right’ meme.
So ... here’s the US real data:
https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/USA/united-states/fertility-rate
(viewing 1950-2020 is kinda useful). Obviously doesn’t turn on a dime but definitely turns on a decade, and varies proportionally with prosperity.
Any coincidence the same people who want a lesser-populated planet are the same ones trying to depress us and our economy?