[fhayek]

Generally, I have observed that polls do not crystalize until after the conventions and the debates. This year is probably uncharted territory, but I still think that nothing has been decided yet. Then there is enthusiasm. Is there really a high level of enthusiasm for Biden? My gut says no. His handlers are going to use COVID to hide Biden as much as possible. I am sure the media will call Trump a bully for insisting he show up for a debate. It is a game a political chicken, so who knows the result.

I mean the media got all over McCain for suspending his campaign in order to deal with the financial crisis in 2008. Had Obama did that, he would have been touted as a hero. So the press will spin like a mother here..

[tatown]

Unless Biden is forced to leave his basement (which I’m not sure he will) I see nothing really changing. The average none engaged voter seems to genuinely dislike Trump and that isn’t helpful. Biden might be the worst candidate in history yet he very well may win if nothing changes in a substantial way.