From all the evidence before our eyes and on our screens and printed out in polling data, many voters are waking up and making that very decision.
Worse, I believe many more are waking up and saying, "I am going to vote against Donald Trump no matter how dingy Biden is" just as so many woke up in 2016 and voted against a despised Hillary Clinton, no matter their negative feelings about Donald Trump.
My surmise is very unpleasant and yours is quite cheering but feeling cheerful ain't got nothin' to do with reality. I hope you are right, after all it would be a much more pleasant morning after the election, but God help us if I my surmise is unfortunately more accurate.

Your comments are sobering and shouldnt be easily dismissed. Whenever I think that things are getting better and the future is looking brighter, I only have to remind myself that Barack 0bama was POTUS for eight long years. That is always a quick jolt back to reality.
surmise a supposition that something may be true, even though there is no evidence to confirm it.
Too early to trust polls, let alone a single NYT poll. To say that "The other shoe has not dropped" is an understatement. The are many undropped shoes.