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To: poinq
So now, in the past 2 months, the virus is killing maybe 0.1% of people who are infected. That is less than the flu. Which you can’t say, even though its true.

If you look at the numbers of recovered and the numbers who have died the overall fatality rate for people who were actually sick is 7.4%.

I'm using a modified Lancet formula, taking into account that it takes 3 weeks longer to recover than to die.

As of 11:33 this morning, JHU CSSE reported 495,781 deaths, and 4,983,029 recoveries. I use the deaths 3 weeks ago, 399,642, and get (399642/(399642+4983029))*100=7.4%

37 posted on 06/27/2020 11:58:55 AM PDT by null and void (It never ends when you go down that slippery slope of digging for the truth.)
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To: null and void; poinq

And of course one of the problems is that people who die from other causes can be and often are labeled covid death. Plus, I am very suspicious about Brix’s statement that the flu disappeared months ago. Oh yeah? I presume that many of the covid deaths were flu and/or pneumonia.


43 posted on 06/27/2020 12:49:06 PM PDT by little jeremiah (Courage is not simply one of the virtues, but the form of every virtue at the testing point.)
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To: null and void

The number recovered is from those who actually report having the virus and report being virus free 5 to 10 days after recovery. I had West Nile last year. The state made me call them so they could check the box, “recovered”. If I don’t call, or if the hospital did not report the disease then I would not be counted. So recovered is the weakest number they report. You can think of it this way. Of those who are hospitalized and don’t die, those are the recovered. If you are positive for antigen, not antibodies, and you bother to call them back 21 days later, you can be counted too. Those with antibody’s are not considered recovered, even though they obviously are.

The only way to really tell the rate of death is to take an area, randomly test a large sample apply that percentage to the population then count the deaths in that area. A Stanford Dr. has done that a few times. But that still over estimates the deaths. Because they have gotten far better at stopping death, by new drugs and procedures figured out over the past 4 months.


49 posted on 06/27/2020 1:32:12 PM PDT by poinq
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