A model that is correct, if all things were normal. If the economy had collapsed thus epically due to some underlying economic weakness, I would say that Trump would lose.
But this is idiocy. The economy was purposefully shut down and it is the democrats who want to keep it this way.
They truly think that they can dump gas, light they matches and then scream about how Trump is to blame for not getting the fire department there on time.
Sorry, not gonna happen. The voters know who lit this fire.
Could Trump win swing states on the second amendment argument? Biden seems horrible on gun rights.