I was wrong to say the death counts were correct. There is a tactic underway by the blue states to inflate their numbers so it looks like Trump’s efforts have failed. That is an effort to sway the 2020 elections.
https://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3842364/posts
Okay, yes. I just saw your second post. Yes, the blue-states, the MSM/panic-peddlers, and Trump hating experts are deliberately inflating (feeding official information venues) with baked fraudulent numbers.
There is a LOT of “stuff” going on, in both directions.
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths.htm
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid_weekly/#ExcessDeaths
Does CDC have a good CURRENT handle on increased deaths from suicide, Dr.’s appts. missed, etc., or decreased deaths from the nearly vanished flu and other respiratory diseases, fewer traffic accidents, and so on? I do not think so... Therefor “excess deaths” is a poor measure of COVID-19 itself. Many “other causes” are heavily affected by the lockdowns.
(I am NOT suggesting that economic calamity to reduce traffic accidents is a good trade off!!!)
Nonetheless, based mainly on comments from some of my wife’s friends who work in hospitals in medium to hard hit areas, I think the commonly reported numbers for COVID-19 fatalities are going to in the end turn out to be respectably close — probably under +/- 20% “off”.