If they are using the same methodology as the Stanford study, then their estimates are wildly inflated.
This is still cold season. Coronaviruses are responsible for roughly 1/5 of colds. How do we know they are picking up Covid-19 specifically, rather than coronavirus in general? Are they showing that these people had detectable virus, or are they using antibody dip sticks?
I’d say they both are closer to being accurate than the millions dead forecasts we got from the govt CDC.